I think an understanding of what is going on in Ukraine and how it may turn out should begin with a reading of Dostoevsky's "Diary of a Writer". It was written long before February 24, 2022. The following 1-hour lecture may give us this understanding in a way often not seen these days:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?....
This article references this lecture by John Mearsheimer in 2015: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...